Leganes vs Huesca: La Liga Game Preview

May 17, 2019 11:06 am

Huesca — despite their La Liga struggles — will look to finish the season on a positive note. They match up with Leganes this weekend following a 2-1 loss vs Real Betis.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Huesca: 2.55
• Draw: 3.62
• Leganes: 2.76
Spread
• Huesca -0.5: 2.25
• Leganes +0.5: 1.73
Total
• Over 3: 2.33
• Under 3: 1.65
What to Watch For

Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 27.6 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 29 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.43 – 10.01, in favor of Leganes.

Building Momentum: Leganes has played above expectations this season. They’ll survive the season and will look to add a few points to the standings this weekend. Coming off a 3-0 win vs Sevilla, watch for Leganes to be extra aggressive in the first half.

Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Jan. 2019 when Leganes won, 1-0.

Projected Leaders

Guido Marcelo Carrillo has a 41-to-42 percent chance to score for Leganes. He averages 2.07 shots overall per sim, 0.91 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim.

Alejandro Gallar Falguera has a 22 percent chance to score for Huesca. He averages 1.26 shots overall per sim, 0.58 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Leganes to win.

Odds indicate there’s a 36 percent chance Leganes wins this match in regulation. That happens in close to 46 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting quite a bit of added side value on the pick. This is a 4-star (out of four) hot trend pick.