AC Milan vs. Bologna: Serie A Game Preview

AC Milan vs. Bologna: Serie A Game Preview 

 

AC Milan hosts Bologna in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game on Saturday. AC Milan is coming off a 3-2 road win against Udinese on Saturday while Bologna lost 2-1 at home against Cagliari on January 14. 

AC Milan is in third place in the Serie A standings with 45 points in 21 games while Bologna is in seventh place with 31 points in 20 games.

The player to watch in this game is Olivier Giroud, who has 10 goals and seven assists in 18 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Giroud a 51.1 percent chance to score against Bologna. He has 35 SCA and 9 GCA in 18 Serie A games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

 

Dafabet Tips Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

  • AC Milan 1.75
  • Bologna 4.80
  • Draw 3.70

Spread

  • AC Milan -0.5, -1 (1.95)
  • Bologna +0.5, +1 (1.85)

Total

  • Over 2.5 (2.02)
  • Under 2.5 (1.78)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on August 21 and AC Milan won 2-0.

 

Projected Leaders

For AC Milan, Olivier Giroud has a 52.1 percent chance to score. He averages 2.56 shots overall per sim, 1.47 shots on goal per and 0.73 goals per sim.

For Bologna, Riccardo Orsolini has a 21.74 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.36 shots overall per sim, 0.63 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.

 

Analyst’s Pick

AC Milan 1.75

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 2.08 to Bologna 0.86.