Arsenal vs. Brighton & Hove Albion: EPL Game Preview
December 15, 2023 10:46 am
Arsenal hosts Brighton & Hove Albion in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. Arsenal is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Aston Villa on Saturday while Brighton & Hove Albion had a 1-1 home draw against Burnley on Saturday.
Arsenal is in second place in the Premier League standings with 36 points in 16 games while Brighton & Hove Albion is in eighth place with 26 points in 16 games.
The player to watch in this game is Martin Ødegaard, who has four goals and two assists in 13 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Martin Ødegaard a 50.08 percent chance to score against Brighton & Hove Albion. He has 63 SCA and 6 GCA in 13 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
- Arsenal 1.53
- Brighton & Hove Albion 5.40
- Draw 4.70
Spread
- Arsenal -1 (1.80)
- Brighton & Hove Albion +1 (1.95)
Total
- Over 3, 3.5 (1.98)
- Under 3, 3.5 (1.78)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 14 and Brighton & Hove Albion won 3-0.
Projected Leaders
For Arsenal, Martin Ødegaard has a 50.08 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.15 shots overall per sim, 1.3 shots on goal per and 0.7 goals per sim.
For Brighton & Hove Albion, João Pedro has a 26.32 percent chance to score. He averages 1.21 shots overall per sim, 0.56 shots on goal per and 0.3 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Arsenal 1.53
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Arsenal in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 3.23 to Brighton & Hove Albion 1.2.
