Burnley vs. Luton Town: EPL Game Preview
January 12, 2024 7:17 am
Burnley and Luton Town clash in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Burnley is coming off a 3-2 road loss against Aston Villa on December 30 while Luton Town lost 3-2 against Chelsea at home on December 30.
Burnley is in 19th place in the Premier League standings with 11 points in 20 games while Luton Town is in 18th place with 15 points in 19 games.
The player to watch in this game is Zeki Amdouni, who has three goals and one assist in 19 Premier League games last season. AccuScore gives Zeki Amdouni a 30.86 percent chance to score against Luton Town. He has 35 SCA and 3 GCA in 19 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
- Burnley 1.96
- Luton Town 3.85
- Draw 3.55
Spread
- Burnley -0.5 (1.92)
- Luton Town +0.5 (1.87)
Total
- Over 2.5 (1.90)
- Under 2.5 (1.87)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 3 and Burnley won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Burnley, Zeki Amdouni has a 30.86 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.01 shots overall per sim, 1.19 shots on goal per and 0.36 goals per sim.
For Luton Town, Elijah Adebayo has a 26.34 percent chance to score. He averages 1.06 shots overall per sim, 0.49 shots on goal per and 0.3 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Burnley 1.96
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Burnley in this one. Average score in simulations is Burnley 1.78 to Luton Town 1.12.
