March 1, 2019 10:15 am
Burnley gets set to host Crystal Palace at Turf Moor this weekend.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Burnley FC: 2.76
• Draw: 3.29
• Crystal Palace: 2.75
• Over 2, 2.5: 1.90
• Under 2, 2.5: 2.00
What to Watch For
Draw: There’s a 30 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 25 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.77 – 1.09, in favor of Crystal Palace.
Total: There’s a 52.6 percent chance the total goes over 2, 2.5. The combined score hits the OVER in 54 percent of AccuScore sims.
The average total score after 10,000 simulations is 2.86 goals.
Clean Sheets: Crystal Palace is No. 5 in the league with 9 clean sheets in the 2018-2019 season.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in December 2018 when Palace won, 2-0.
Michy Batshuayi has a 48 percent chance to net the ball for Crystal Palace. Batshuayi averages 2.52 shots overall per sim, 1.1 shots overall per, and 0.64 goals per sim.
Ashley Barnes has a 26-to-27 percent chance to score for Burnley. Barnes averages 1.78 shots overall per sim, 0.74 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.
Crystal Palace to win
There’s a 36 percent chance Crystal Palace wins this match in regulation. They win over 52 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting quite a bit of added side value on the Eagles. This is a 3-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.