May 17, 2019 11:07 am
We’ve got a pair of 13-11-13 (record) teams going head-to-head this weekend at RCDE Stadium in Cornella. AccuScore has some strong side value in this matchup.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• RCD Espanyol: 2.31
• Draw: 3.66
• Real Sociedad: 3.09
• RCD Espanyol -0.5:1.98
• Real Sociedad +0.5: 1.95
• Over 3: 2.13
• Under 3: 1.78
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 29.7 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 33 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.1 – 0.93, in favor of Real Sociedad.
Playing to Win: Real Sociedad kept their Europa League chances alive following a win vs Real Madrid. Keep an eye on this side to attack early and often.
Building Momentum: Espanyol will look to keep their recent momentum following back-to-back wins over Atletico Madrid and Leganes. They’ve had a strong second half to their La Liga season.
Head to Head: These two sides last met on Jan. 14, 2019 when Real Sociedad won, 3-2.
Mikel Oyarzabal has a 28 percent chance to score for Real Sociedad. He averages 1.55 shots overall per sim, 0.79 shots on goal per and 0.33 goals per sim.
For Espanyol, we’ll have our eyes on Leonardo Carrilho Baptistao. He averages 1.67 shots overall per sim, 0.75 shots on goal per and 0.2 goals per sim, with an 18-to-19 percent chance to score.
Real Sociedad +0.5
Odds indicate there’s a 51.2 percent chance Real Sociedad either finish in a draw, or win. That happens in close to 70 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some side value on the ‘underdog.’ Sociedad winning is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.