May 17, 2019 11:06 am
Huesca — despite their La Liga struggles — will look to finish the season on a positive note. They match up with Leganes this weekend following a 2-1 loss vs Real Betis.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Huesca: 2.55
• Draw: 3.62
• Leganes: 2.76
• Huesca -0.5: 2.25
• Leganes +0.5: 1.73
• Over 3: 2.33
• Under 3: 1.65
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 27.6 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 29 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.43 – 10.01, in favor of Leganes.
Building Momentum: Leganes has played above expectations this season. They’ll survive the season and will look to add a few points to the standings this weekend. Coming off a 3-0 win vs Sevilla, watch for Leganes to be extra aggressive in the first half.
Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Jan. 2019 when Leganes won, 1-0.
Guido Marcelo Carrillo has a 41-to-42 percent chance to score for Leganes. He averages 2.07 shots overall per sim, 0.91 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim.
Alejandro Gallar Falguera has a 22 percent chance to score for Huesca. He averages 1.26 shots overall per sim, 0.58 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.
Leganes to win.
Odds indicate there’s a 36 percent chance Leganes wins this match in regulation. That happens in close to 46 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting quite a bit of added side value on the pick. This is a 4-star (out of four) hot trend pick.