Chelsea vs Cardiff City

March 29, 2019 8:32 am

Chelsea take a trip to South Wales this weekend for a matchup with Cardiff City. Chelsea is coming off a 1-1 result vs Wolverhampton and a 2-0 loss vs Everton in their last two league games.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
Cardiff City: 7.47
Draw: 4.63
Chelsea FC: 1.47
Spread
Cardiff City +1: 2.19
Chelsea FC -1: 1.77
Total
Over 2.5: 1.83
Under 2.5: 2.07
What to Watch For

Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 21.6 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 22.2 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some — but not much — added side value on the draw.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 2.15 – 0.96, in favor of Chelsea.

Last 6: Cardiff have 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 overall. Chelsea have 4 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw.

Building Momentum: Eden Hazard has been phenomenal for his side this season. He has 13 Premier League goals and 11 league assists so far.

Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action on Sep. 15, 2018 when Chelsea won, 4-1.

Projected Leaders

Eden Hazard has a 43.5 percent chance to score for Chelsea. Hazard averages 2.74 shots overall, 1.22 shots on goal per and 0.56 goals per sim.

Oumar Niasse has a 25 percent chance to score for Cardiff City. Niasse averages 1.37 shots overall, 0.6 shots on goal per and 0.28 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Chelsea to win.

Not much value here since it’s the obvious pick, but it’s tough to turn down a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.